Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000148 0.000164 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222 0.000246 0.000274
2025-08-24 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000197 0.000237 0.000283 0.000344
2025-08-31 0.000096 0.000120 0.000150 0.000191 0.000243 0.000309 0.000399
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000110 0.000144 0.000191 0.000255 0.000341 0.000467
2025-09-14 0.000076 0.000104 0.000141 0.000194 0.000271 0.000379 0.000545
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000096 0.000133 0.000191 0.000276 0.000402 0.000603
2025-09-28 0.000060 0.000087 0.000125 0.000183 0.000275 0.000413 0.000645
2025-10-05 0.000056 0.000083 0.000123 0.000186 0.000288 0.000448 0.000727
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000081 0.000122 0.000190 0.000304 0.000489 0.000824
2025-10-19 0.000049 0.000076 0.000117 0.000188 0.000308 0.000510 0.000889
2025-10-26 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000190 0.000320 0.000547 0.000987
2025-11-02 0.000043 0.000069 0.000112 0.000188 0.000324 0.000569 0.001060
2025-11-09 0.000040 0.000066 0.000109 0.000187 0.000332 0.000598 0.001154
2025-11-16 0.000037 0.000062 0.000105 0.000184 0.000335 0.000622 0.001240
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000058 0.000099 0.000178 0.000331 0.000632 0.001300
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000056 0.000097 0.000178 0.000340 0.000667 0.001419
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000054 0.000097 0.000181 0.000356 0.000717 0.001578
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000093 0.000178 0.000357 0.000737 0.001673
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000171 0.000350 0.000739 0.001725
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000087 0.000174 0.000363 0.000787 0.001895
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000178 0.000380 0.000847 0.002108
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000175 0.000382 0.000871 0.002230
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000177 0.000396 0.000924 0.002441